Seven years ago, Manny Pacquiao with his knees down, looked into the heavens thanking God for his monumental victory against the bigger and seasoned boxer, Oscar de la Hoya. It was a flawless fight for Manny, giving Oscar a barraged of punches coming from different angles. The end was near for Oscar’s hall of fame career. His legs were gone as he seemed to age 10 years in just twenty minutes. Roach had a perfect plan. He knows Oscar’s tendencies closely, having work with Oscar when he fought Floyd Mayweather Jr. a year ago. Manny took away Oscar’s jab, break him down with body shots and fight at short range and Manny came out with the victory.
With less than a week, Manny Pacquiao is preparing for his biggest battle in his entire career. He will face the decorated and undefeated pound per pound champion Floyd Mayweather Jr. Normally when an alpha male is challenged, a fight will automatically ensued. However, this fight took five years in the making. Whatever the reason is, the back and forth verbal jabs and vetoed negotiations it boils down to just a few days left before this is really happening. But before all the lights in MGM goes beaming, and the high class rollers in Vegas shouting, let’s try to discuss about possible scenarios going to this fight and my fearless forecast. I’ll try to be firm and unbiased as much as possible.
This is not a battle between good and evil as what everybody perceives this fight to be, this is about who wants it most. The first four rounds would be crucial for both fighters.
Let’s try to examine both fighters game plan going to the fight. For Floyd Mayweather Jr. they will start the first 2 rounds “feeling in” with Manny Pacquiao as what Floyd Mayweather Sr. told The Daily UK. Gauging Manny’s speed, power and footwork before he adjust and win the next ten rounds. Which could spell disaster to Floyd, because Manny will go out blazing from the first round till the twelve. Freddie Roach’s plan is to overwhelm Floyd with punches from different angles when the bell rings. No rest, no breaks… that’s why Manny are doing a lot of road work, speed and agility workouts with his strength and conditioning coach, Justin Fortune.
Manny is declaring war and is prepared to go even 15 rounds with Floyd.
Mayweather is a master in defense and adjustments. Look how he managed to escape a win against Oscar de la Hoya, when Oscar was winning some rounds, or the way he regained momentum after he was dominated by Zab Judah in the first few rounds. Most of Floyd’s 47 wins came from his superb footwork and defense, but when his legs started betraying him, he went from unscathed to a hittable fighter. “I wanted to give the fans what they wanted to see – a toe to toe battle” said Floyd after outpointing Shane Mosley. However, that fight was the closest of Floyd going down, when he was hit by Shane with two hard rights in the early rounds. It was the first time we saw Floyd getting hurt and in trouble. He was supposed to move and dance his way to victory against the old veteran who has lost a step or two. However, his legs weren’t there. Boxing is a merciless sport, and if you have lost one of your arsenal, you got to improvised or better yet retire or the younger lions would eat you. Floyd stayed with boxing while dissecting and fighting brilliantly against hand-picked opponents.
On faster and defensive fighters like Mayweather he is not battling only opponents but a raced against time. Manny Pacquiao and Freddie Roach knows that, and they will take any advantage they will see against Floyd. For most fighters who have tasted defeat and got Knocked out, they usually came back half of what he was as a boxer, but for Manny, he is an anomaly. After getting knocked down by his Mexican nemesis Juan Manuel Marquez 3 years ago. He fought a game Brandon Rios, the formerly undefeated fighters Timothy Bradley and Chris Algieri with astonishing fashion. Today’s version of Manny is a thinking and patient boxer, a vast difference from his reckless style 4 to 5 years ago.
In this fight, Manny will overwhelm Floyd with barrage of punches coming from different angles. He will use his footwork and speed against Mayweather. While Floyd will be setting up his right, the same style Marquez used against Pacquiao.
Floyd will be using his shoulder roll defense while countering Manny with solid shots to the head. But Manny has already figured out what Floyd is doing as he dart in and out showering Floyd with punches.
First few rounds would be crucial, and if Floyd’s legs once again betrays him, this would be a short night for Pacquiao.
Genetically Floyd like his uncle Roger and father Floyd Sr. have small hands. If you packed a lot of power and you got a small vessel to hold it, technically the wear and tear is drastically faster than those who got bigger hands. That’s why Floyd’s hands are brittle and needs xylocaine to numb it. But it doesn’t say that Floyd can’t knock anybody out. Victor Ortiz came out helpless after Floyd knocked him out, when Victor was trying to say sorry for a low blow and forgot to protect his head.
Floyd will look for a knockout against Manny. It’s the only way he can win and saved his unblemished record. If this fight was done five years ago, Floyd will easily beat Pacquiao. But for now, I don’t see that coming.
Pacquiao by six rounds
The end is near, Floyd Mayweather Jr. is fighting Pacquiao and father time, either of them will still score a knockout.
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